Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.768987 17.954221 20.462796 23.585483 27.410853 32.001045 38.013997
2025-05-25 12.766282 15.411423 18.716574 23.246031 29.452242 37.916165 50.827872
2025-06-01 11.139261 13.962935 17.693218 23.154053 31.266199 43.467948 64.571220
2025-06-08 9.810777 12.631168 16.509934 22.474069 31.904398 47.257353 76.834418
2025-06-15 8.974404 11.828243 15.895351 22.434593 33.396908 52.676004 94.189078
2025-06-22 8.033623 10.757918 14.736320 21.335650 32.872314 54.356780 104.817264
2025-06-29 7.230292 9.804018 13.635944 20.153843 31.946660 54.992734 113.411769
2025-07-06 6.639779 9.111518 12.860665 19.395549 31.628755 56.734573 125.718035
2025-07-13 6.769449 9.514367 13.837311 21.761636 37.704769 74.145631 195.232908
2025-07-20 6.571803 9.384230 13.926427 22.544973 40.790786 85.956666 260.944173
2025-07-27 6.154062 8.867265 13.312782 21.918463 40.694805 89.496259 298.481209
2025-08-03 6.003891 8.772396 13.411439 22.680100 43.908945 103.743726 410.078354
2025-08-10 5.678449 8.377898 12.972943 22.362363 44.639404 111.376604 506.683951
2025-08-17 5.384177 8.016642 12.564798 22.060258 45.374843 119.624524 634.609840
2025-08-24 5.147916 7.736737 12.278314 21.974010 46.658960 130.696662 833.929462
2025-08-31 4.863641 7.355140 11.770921 21.341423 46.321744 135.469110 997.057831
2025-09-07 4.677003 7.132234 11.544155 21.304677 47.671751 148.282576 1364.922502
2025-09-14 4.389332 6.714710 10.915193 20.281101 45.920407 146.378973 1483.504458
2025-09-21 4.112822 6.304481 10.276752 19.178750 43.759023 141.755546 1534.390184
2025-09-28 3.899825 5.998471 9.823841 18.470541 42.699525 142.235658 1734.268649
2025-10-05 4.015692 6.289649 10.562077 20.678039 51.428107 201.851787 5921.947206
2025-10-12 3.966547 6.274997 10.685831 21.407411 55.586162 242.127712 16071.237908
2025-10-19 3.796696 6.026728 10.312294 20.824119 54.897253 248.413392 24329.344135